Tuesday, January 3, 2012

The Big Little Book of Nexts: Trendspotting for 2012


The Big Little Book of Nexts: Trendspotting for 2012


November 2011


What will make the world tick in 2012? And might that ticking sound more like a patient, plodding grandfather clock or a time bomb? According to Marian Salzman, it depends on whom you ask. Salzman, CEO of Euro RSCG Worldwide PR, North America, and one of the top five trendspotters in the world, digs deep to look for social patterns, then applies everything to where the future is headed, in cultural, political, technological and economic matters. For 2012, Salzman has created her biggest annual trends report ever, with more than 150 trends sighted in 32 categories, from Asia and Modern Life to Color and Grooming. Here is just a peek at what’s in this year’s report, which you can download with the button below:  (PDF@:  http://eurorscgpr.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/11/Trends2012_PR_FIN.pdf)

  • The U.S. State of Mind. Politics will reach a boiling point with more protests, most likely organized and cross-promoted on social media.
  • Re-feathering the Empty Nest. Recent college grads, the biggest casualty of the dire job market, look for Mom and Dad to come to the rescue. Likewise, seniors will choose to move in with their grown children.
  • Double-Dip Frugality. Look for 2012 to be the year of essentials only. Pop-up stores will continue to soothe by offering one-off items without the sticker shock, and brands will look to co-produce products and lines.
  • Be Private, Be Present. Experiencing full-blown information overload, many will rediscover their need for privacy. We will still expect our leaders and businesses to be transparent, but in our personal lives look for a retreat en masse from TMI.



    Trendwatching.com - 12 Trends

    12 CRUCIAL CONSUMER TRENDS FOR 2012


    English not your preferred language? Read this Trend Briefing in:
     Français    ??    Nederlands    Türkçe  
     Español    Português    Deutsch    ???

    Introduction | This year, much as in previous years, some brands may be staring into the abyss, while others will do exuberantly well. And while we can’t offer any help to defaulting nations or bankrupt companies, we do believe that there are more opportunities than ever for creative brands and entrepreneurs to deliver on changing consumer needs. From Canada to Korea. Hence this overview of 12 must-know consumer trends (in random order) for you to run with in the next 12 months. Onwards and upwards:

    1.

    In 2012, department stores, airlines, hotels, theme parks, museums, if not entire cities and nations around the world will roll out the red carpet for the new emperors, showering Chinese visitors and customers with tailored services and perks, and in general, lavish attention and respect.
    Read RED CARPET in full (including examples from Hilton, Starwood and Harrods)

    2. DIY HEALTH

    Expect to see consumers take advantage of new technologies and apps to discreetly and continuously track, manage and be alerted to, any changes in their personal health.
    Read DIY HEALTH in full (including examples from Jawbone, Ford and Lifelens)

    3. DEALER-CHIC

    In 2012, not only will consumers continue to hunt for deals and discounts, but they will do so with relish if not pride. Deals are now about more than just saving money: it’s the thrill, the pursuit, the control, and the perceived smartness, and thus a source of status too.
    Read DEALER-CHIC in full (including examples from American Express, Nokitum and Daitan)

    4. ECO-CYCOLOGY

    Brands will increasingly take back all of their products for recycling (sometimes forced by new legislation), and recycle them responsibly and innovatively.
    Read ECO-CYCOLOGY in full (including examples from Dell, Nike and Garnier)

    5. CASH-LESS
     

    Will coins and notes completely disappear in 2012? No. But a cashless future is (finally) upon us, as major players such as MasterCard and Google work to build a whole new eco-system of payments, rewards and offers around new mobile technologies.
    Read CASH-LESS in full (including examples from Google, PayPal and Square)

    6. BOTTOM OF THE URBAN PYRAMID

    The majority of consumers live in cities, yet in much of the world city life is chaotic, cramped and often none too pleasant. However at the same time, the creativity and vibrancy of these aspiring consumers, means that the global opportunities for brands which cater to the hundreds of millions of lower-income CITYSUMERS are unprecedented.
    Read BOUP in full (including examples from PepsiCo, NCR and Aakash)

    7. IDLE SOURCING

    Anything that makes it downright simple- if not completely effortless- for consumers to contribute to something will be more popular than ever in 2012. Unlocked by the spread of ever smarter sensors in mobile phones, people will not only be able but increasingly willing, to broadcast information about where and what they are doing, to help improve products and services.
    Read IDLE SOURCING in full (including examples from Street Bump and Waze)

    8. FLAWSOME

    Why to consumers, brands that behave more humanly, including exposing their flaws, will be awesome.
    Read FLAWSOME in fullhere.

    9. SCREEN CULTURE

    Thanks to the continued explosion of touchscreen smartphones, tablets, and the 'cloud', 2012 will see a SCREEN CULTURE that is not only more pervasive, but more personal, more immersive and more interactive than ever.
    Read SCREEN CULTURE in full (including examples from Sky, 8ta and Huawei)

    10. RECOMMERCE
     

    It’s never been easier for savvy consumers to resell or trade in past purchases, and unlock the value in their current possessions. In 2012, ‘trading in’ is the new buying.
    Read RECOMMERCE in full (including examples from Decathlon, Amazon and Levi’s)

    11. EMERGING MATURIALISM

    While cultural differences will continue to shape consumer desires, middle-class and/or younger consumers in almost everymarket will embrace brands that push the boundaries. Expect frank, risqué or non-corporate products, services and campaigns from emerging markets to be on the rise in 2012.
    Read EMERGING MATURIALISM in full(including examples from Diesel, Johnson & Johnson and Sanitol)

    12. POINT & KNOW
     

    Consumers are used to being able to find out just about anything that’s online or text-based, but 2012 will see instant visualinformation gratification brought into the real and visual world with objects and even people.
    Read POINT & KNOW in full (including examples from Starbucks, eBay and Amazon)

    13. MORE-ISM

    For many of you, our free content is enough to keep you going. And yet, this Trend Briefing is just a snapshot of what we track. So, if you need access to all the trends we’re tracking in 2012, including our exclusive 100+ page 2012 Trend Report, then please check out our Premium Service »


    Don't forget...



    Now, with 'trends' meaning everything from 'Ageing population in China' to 'Fall 2013's felt mania’, we need to clarify that:
    • We’re tracking consumer trends. Not macro trends. Well, actually, we do track those, but don't publish them. So, for 2012's ‘geo-political-environmental macro picture' check out sources such as McKinsey’s Global Institute and Global Trends.
    • Obviously, trends don't just 'emerge' on 1 January or end on 31 December. Professionals craving Top Twelve lists is something we gladly cater for, but all trends are constantly evolving, and all of the content above is one way or another already happening. Major consumer trends are more like currents than one-time killer waves.
    • We’re also not saying there are only 12 consumer trends to track in 2012; there are dozens of important consumer trends worth knowing about and applying at any given time of the year. We merely bring you a selection to get going. If you crave more, do check out other trend firms' lists or check out No. 13 above ;-)
    • All of the above means that many trends we’ve highlighted over the last years will still be as important next year as the ones we discuss in this briefing. From CITYSUMERS to BRAND BUTLERS.
    • Oh, and none of these trends apply to all consumers.
    • Last but not least, trend watching is about applying. About innovations. It's hands-on. And about making money. So forget ‘Nice to Know’ or ‘Pie in the Sky’. See the below for how to apply these trends straightaway.




    Apply




    For loyal readers, this is by now old news: the four ways to apply these consumer trends, and make some money from the innovations they spawn. Just ask yourself if they have the potential to (and if so, how):
    1. Influence or shape your company's vision.
    2. Inspire you to come up with a new business concept, an entirely new venture, a new brand.
    3. Add a new product, service or experience for a certain customer segment.
    4. Speak the language of those consumers already 'living' a trend.
    For more tips on how to spot and apply trends, see our TIPS section. Easy peasy, no?


    Good luck. And please do make sure you're subscribed to our free Trend Briefings: many more to come your way in 2012 and beyond!

    Deloitte Predicts the Top 10 Technology Trends for 2012

    Deloitte Predicts the Top 10 Technology Trends for 2012
    Mobility, social, analytics, cloud and cyber represent five imminent technology forces for business innovation

    NEW YORK, December 8, 2011 — Deloitte today announced the research findings from its 3rd annual "Tech Trends 2012" report, which identifies and predicts the top 10 emerging and disruptive technologies that are expected to play a crucial role in how businesses are anticipated to operate globally in 2012 and beyond.

    "As we head into 2012, many CIOs are evaluating the various aspects of IT, looking ahead to the new technologies that can help them drive business growth in the years ahead," said Mark White, principal and chief technology officer, Deloitte Consulting LLP and co-author of the report. "Mobility, social, analytics, cloud and cyber are technology forces each impacting business today. The intersection of these represents an opportunity for new business technology value and innovation.”

    Deloitte’s "Tech Trends 2012" distinguished the technologies in two categories: "(Re)emerging Enablers" and "Disruptive Deployments." (Re)emerging Enablers are five technologies that many CIOs have spent time, thought and resources on in the past, but deserve another look this year. Disruptive Deployments are five additional technologies that showcase new business models and transformative ways to operate. The 10 predicted technologies identified for 2012 are:

    (Re)Emerging Enablers:
    Geo-spatial Visualization: Within the world of visualization, geospatial takes advantage of an explosion of geographical, location-aware data. Sources feeding this growth include new semi-structured data from mobile devices, geo-tagging of existing enterprise structured data and tapping into new streams of location-aware unstructured data.
    Digital Identities: The digital expression of identity is growing more complex every day. Digital identities should be unique, verifiable, able to be federated and non-repudiable. As individuals take a more active hand in managing their own digital identities, organizations are attempting to create single digital identities that retain the appropriate context across the range of credentials that an individual carries. Digital persona protection is becoming a strong area of cyber focus.

    Data Goes to Work: Organizations are finding ways to turn the explosion in size, volume and complexity of data into insight and value. This is occurring across structured and unstructured content from internal and external sources. This is expected to complement but not replace long-standing information management programs and investments in data warehouses, business intelligence suites, reporting platforms and relational database experience.

    Measured Innovation: CIOs can help facilitate the discovery of the next wave of true disruption--and continuously improve the business of IT and the business of the business. Measured innovation offers an approach to managing both disciplines by providing a pragmatic way to identify, evaluate and launch potential innovations with a focus on aligning opportunities to areas that can fuel disruption and create measurable, attributable value.

    Outside-in Architecture: Flexibility in operating and business models is proving more important. As a result, need to share is colliding with need to know and shifting solution architectures away from a siloed, enterprise-out design pattern and into an outside-in approach to delivering business through rapidly evolving ecosystems.

    Disruptive Deployments:
    Social Business: The emergence of boomers as digital natives and the rise of social media in daily life have paved the way for social business in the enterprise. This is leading organizations to apply social technologies on social networks, amplified by social media, to fundamentally reshape how business gets done. Some of the initial successful use cases are consumer-centric, but business value is available – and should be realized – across the enterprise.

    Hyper-hybrid Cloud: Cloud-based and cloud-aware integration offerings are expected to continue to evolve, and many organizations face a hybrid reality with a mix of on-premise solutions and multiple cloud offerings. The challenge becomes integration, identity management and data translation between the core and multitenant public cloud offerings, and offering lightweight orchestration for processes traversing enterprise and cloud assets.
    Enterprise Mobility Unleashed: Mobility is helping many organizations rethink their business models. Consumer-facing mobile applications are only the beginning. With the explosion of mobile use cases, organizations should make sure solutions are enterprise class – secure, reliable, maintainable and integrated to critical back-office systems and data.

    Gamification: Serious gaming simulations and game mechanics such as leaderboards, 
    achievements and skill-based learning are becoming embedded in day-to-day business processes, driving adoption, performance and engagement.
    User Empowerment: User engagement remains a key doctrine for enterprise IT with consumerization setting expectations for solutions built from the user-down, not the system-up. Compounding the need, IT is becoming increasingly democratized, with empowered end-users able to directly source solutions from the cloud or app stores – on a mobile device and increasingly on the desktop.

    "The next 12 months will see several technologies including the cloud, big data and mobility continue to grow, while a topic like gamification is just starting to emerge at the enterprise level," said Bill Briggs, director, Deloitte Consulting LLP and co-author of the report. "It will be important for CIOs to help lead their organizations in these areas, as they can redefine the role that IT plays within an organization and place them in a position to positively disrupt their operating models, business models, or even their industries.”
    About Deloitte Tech Trends

    For the past three years, Deloitte’s annual "Tech Trends" report has identified the 10 trends anticipated to have an impact for CIOs in the coming year and beyond. The predications are based on insights from Deloitte’s technology subject matter specialists, input from some of its largest clients and discussions with industry analysts and alliance members. To subscribe to receive a digital copy of this year’s complete report, please visitwww.deloitte.com/us/techtrends2012.

    As used in this document, "Deloitte" means Deloitte LLP and its subsidiaries. Please see www.deloitte.com/us/aboutfor a detailed description of the legal structure of Deloitte LLP and its subsidiaries. Certain services may not be available to attest clients under the rules and regulations of public accounting.

    site:http://www.deloitte.com

    Big in 2012: Trend-watchers tells us what to expect

    nj.com

    Big in 2012: Trend-watchers tells us what to expect

    Published: Tuesday, January 03, 2012, 8:02 AM
    Amy Kuperinsky/The Star-Ledger 
    icloud.JPGSteve Jobs introduced iCloud in June. Trend-watchers say we'll live in digital clouds, more than ever before.
    Out: Human interaction.
    In: Saying you want to get together, but not actually doing it.
    Out: High-fructose corn syrup.
    In: Good ol' honey.
    Out: Spending large on your wardrobe.
    In: Going shopping, in your wardrobe.
    So say two professional trend-spotters, at least.
    Marian Salzman, president of the North American division of the public relations firm Euro RSCG Worldwide, has been spotting trends for 15 years. Her annual trends forecast is called "The Big Little Book of Nexts."
    Ann Mack, director of trend-spotting at the advertising firm JWT, issued her seventh report on trends last month.
    Here's what they say will transpire in 2012.
    The rise of fiction
    "Real life has been so much more real than reality TV," says Salzman. "We've been through a really traumatic year," she says, even if that has meant saying goodbye to some of the most reviled world leaders. Look for the rise of "curated drama," she says. Instead of finding solace in the antics of "Real Housewives," for example, we'll look for escape in "well-designed television programming," meaning shows that are scripted, not documented, she says.
    honey-bee.JPGThey'll be working hard for us in 2012
    Honey and mushrooms
    When corn syrup got a whole lot of negative press, people were looking for ways to sweeten healthfully, or at least naturally.
    "If you can provide an alternative to that and call it 'natural,' good for you," says Mack. Honey, undeniably natural but also exceedingly saccharine, will be a big sweetener in 2012, she says. And not just in food but also in cough remedies and over-the-counter medicines. Mushrooms, too, fit the bill for something good-tasting that isn't so bad for you, she says, and are even, possibly, immunity boosters. Calling edible fungi "the next big thing in functional foods," Mack says to look out for a wide variety, including pricey truffles.
    Buying local
    The Year of the Dragon will also be the year of the locavore, says Salzman, locavorism being the pursuit of locally produced food.
    "It's really going through the stratosphere," she says. "Local pies, local cheeses, the more local the better." Why? "It's a sense of control," says Salzman. The idea that we know the place a food is made, so it's therefore extra consumable. Which would make food grown in your backyard extra desirable, right? If only we weren't stuck in a cloud ...
    Cloud life 
    "I think we're going to live our lives in a cloud," says Salzman. That cloud involves us, our mobile digital accessories ("Everybody's going to have a tablet. You might even have more than one," says Salzman) and a sense that we'd like to think we want to see more people in person, but really don't want to. When you're living "in 140 characters or less," social intimacy -- meaning actual face-to-face conversation -- "just feels like more work," says Salzman. "We'd rather read it than say it."
    james-franco-seth-rogen-marriage.JPGStrong women, slacker men?
    Inhaling
    No, not that kind. The kind of inhaling that allows you to smell your flavors instead of eating them. If you're into that.
    Mack points to Le Whif, a calorie-free "chocolate experience," and Breathable Foods' AeroShot Pure Energy, an inhaler that contains a mix of caffeine and B vitamins.
    A new American Dream
    The old vision of success is changing, says Salzman. It's going to mean not everyone will think college is the way to get there, especially considering the crippling impact of student loans.
    "The student loan crisis is going to be the biggest crisis in the world," she says. This gives old benchmarks -- earning a degree, buying a home -- a new context. Salzman says many more people will be asking if they really need those thing to get by, or can they achieve whatever it is they consider their dreams in other ways.
    Marriage
    College isn't the only part of American life in flux. Marriage is also being seen more as an option than a necessity, says Mack.
    "The reason why women are opting out of marriage is because they are gaining in education," she says, with women earning the most bachelor's and master's degrees. "Motherhood is now untethered from marriage." Just look at a Judd Apatow movie, she says: Men are portrayed as slackers while women are the ones in control.
    Self-diagnosis, alternative treatment
    Eating all that locally produced food, tapping away on our tablets also has us gaining weight and getting sick.
    flapper.JPGA Diane von Furstenberg crystal beaded flapper dress from 2003. Will Depression chic make a return?
    "We're more inside, more than ever before," says Salzman. And usually not on the treadmill. "We're exercising our jaws talking about exercise." So we're also apt to be Googling our ailments.
    "If you suffer from epilepsy, if you suffer from a sprained wrist, you can do all of the medical research," says Salzman. "It's made us much more willing to embrace (the) homeopathic," says Salzman.
    Catering to maturity
    "Someone who's 65 may live two, three, four decades after that," says Mack. "The sky's the limit for them, as long as they can afford it."
    So it makes sense that technology should adjust to maturity instead of just paying lip service to youth, what Mack calls "retooling for an aging world." GlassesOff is a good example, she says. The forthcoming digital program aims to actually treat the blurry vision of presbyopia via the screens that would normally strain our eyes.
    Indulgence penalties
    Mack says it's telling that in Hungary and Denmark there have been taxes on foods high in fat, salt and sugar, as well as on soda and alcohol, with legislation pending in Australia and the U.K. Americans have balked at attempts to control their diets and snacking, but expect more policing in the world at large, she says.
    "You can't ignore our growing waistlines," says Mack. "Which can be a huge cost on the government."
    Depression chic
    Faced with a lack of leisure funds, grads saddled with overwhelming loan payments and many others with little extra wiggle room in their budgets will be "curating their closets," says Salzman. This means there will be a reliance on classic wardrobe staples and a pushback against buying novelties, she says. At the same time, "Depression chic" will become popular, she says. That doesn't mean wearing torn-up burlap sacks, but it does involve flapper dresses and "loud, exciting scarves."
    indulgence.JPGWe might get taxed on junk food, but we'll want to reach for a sweet reward every now and then.
    Small delights
    Even though we know we have to cut down (and so do companies like Kraft that will start selling a five-pack of gum for 50 cents) we're also "fatigued by all these austerity measures," says Mack. Sick of saving, we'll want to indulge in small ways.
    The evidence is there, she says, noting that nail polish sales were up 54 percent this year. And even if we're not polish users, instead of paying for a gourmet meal we might just buy the ingredients to make it at home, she says.
    Follow Amy Kuperinsky on Twitter @AmyKup
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